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AOC, Donald Trump Jr. make gains in new 2028 poll
Early leaders
The poll suggests the 2028 race is already taking shape, with Harris leading the Democratic field and Vance leading the Republican side. The survey also shows movement beneath the leaders, including stronger numbers for AOC on the Democratic side and Donald Trump Jr. among Republicans.
That matters because early polling can influence donor attention, media coverage, and whether a party’s bench looks crowded or clear. The results point to both parties having a few recognizable front-runners, but no inevitable nominee yet.
What the poll means
Harris’s support slipped from earlier readings, while Newsom and Buttigieg remain in the mix for Democrats. On the Republican side, Vance still leads but Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio appear to be competing for position just behind him.
The larger story is that the field remains fluid this far out. Small changes in attention, endorsements, and campaign activity could reshape the race well before voters begin making real decisions.
Outlook
The poll was conducted in late September among registered voters, so it reflects current perceptions rather than a full primary electorate. That makes it useful as a measure of name recognition and early enthusiasm, but not as a forecast.
Even so, the results reinforce a broader narrative: the next election cycle is already visible, and the parties’ most familiar national figures are currently best positioned to dominate the conversation.