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Hormuz shipping traffic in single digits, data shows
Current traffic
Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has not stabilized, even after a brief rebound earlier in the summer. Recent Reuters tracking shows daily commodity-vessel transits slipping back into single digits, with the 10-day moving average falling to its lowest level since May.
Why it matters
The latest slowdown followed new tensions, including strikes and Iranian retaliation threats, which quickly changed carrier behavior. That means the key question is less about a calendar month and more about whether security conditions stay calm long enough for insurers, shipowners, and traders to rebuild confidence.
Timing outlook
The available reporting does not support a specific month for normalization. Reuters’ coverage suggests traffic can improve quickly when risk eases, but it can also reverse just as fast when threats rise, so any return to normal remains contingent rather than scheduled.